Ted Cruz President 2016: Texas Senator’s Strengths For Primaries Are His Weaknesses In General Election

This article suggests that Cruz may excite Republican primary voters but his positions will make it hard for him to win the General Election and therefore he will have a tough time raising money from business leaders who so badly want to see a Republican elected President.

Click here to read the full February 12, 2015 article from the International Business Times.

The Republican presidential primary field is shaping up to have about a dozen contenders in 2016, and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas may become one of them. But if Cruz decides to mount a campaign, his biggest strength — strong support among conservative, tea party voters – may also be his biggest liability.

ted-cruzWhile he hasn’t yet officially announced a run for president, Cruz has said he is strongly considering it. In October, he made a visit to the Wichita, Kansas, headquarters of the oil billionaire Koch brothers to make the case that Republicans need a grassroots conservative as their nominee in 2016, according to the New York Times. He’s also hired staff in the key early states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina — a strong signal that he’s serious.

Cruz’s reputation as a uncompromising firebrand who shut down the federal government over Obamacare has made him a hero of the tea party. And these are the kind of voters who are the likeliest to turn out for primaries in 2016.

“If there’s Texas grit, Ted’s got it,” said political consultant Suzanne Bellsynder of the Austin, Texas-based Bellsnynder Group, who worked with Cruz when they were both staffers, he in the state attorney general’s office and she in the Texas state Senate. “He’s one of the people who’s relentless. He’s works hard, he’s smart, he’s not afraid to take on things that are a little bit edgy … and primary voters are looking for that kind of leadership.”

If that is what Republicans are looking for, they don’t know it yet. Cruz is running in the low single digits in the latest polls in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first caucus and primary states. To improve his standing, he’s going to have to broaden his appeal beyond the tea party, according to Bruce Buchanan, a political science professor at the University of Texas at Austin.

“This is an amazingly talented fellow. Tons of energy, but he’s at this moment almost more of a message politician in that he has a point of view but not an extraordinary base of support outside the state of Texas, where he is quite popular,” Buchanan said. “He hasn’t displayed the ability yet nor had the opportunity to display the willingness to build coalitions toward the center right now, and that’s what he’ll have to do to move to a position of greater credibility. The establishment wants to win in 2016, and now he looks like a fringe candidate that sets up for defeat.”

As Cruz considers a 2016 run, the main focus right now is finding donors. Cruz should have no trouble with what Bellsnyder calls “heart donors,” or those who contribute to candidates who align with their political views. But he may struggle with “investment donors” with deep pockets who want a viable candidate.

“They may like him, they may believe in him and what he’s trying to do. But from the donor perspective, they’re making a decision on what’s a good business decision for them,” Bellsnyder said. “In a lot of ways, fundraising is marketing. You have to show people how you’re going to get there.”

Ted Cruz and the March 1st Challenge (the Rules fix is in!)

RedState.com is on top of political news before anyone else!  Click this link to read how some think the RNC has made it hard for an insurgent like Ted Cruz to win the nomination.

Steve Deace put together an article that would put a knot in any conservative’s stomach for 2016.   In 2012 the rules were changed at the convention to pave the way for the Establishment for 2016.    Here’s what Steve Deace’s “little birdie” from inside the RNC tells him.

“Look closer at the rules and you’ll see this is tailor-made for Jeb Bush 2016,” he told me. “Under the new rules, which were driven down our throats by Bush family loyalist Ben Ginsberg and the establishment at the 2012 convention, states aren’t allowed to have ‘winner-take-all’ primaries until after March 15th. That means all those southern states that go prior to that will have to proportionally-allocate their delegates……all Jeb Bush has to do is wait it out. Get to the more liberal states like New York and California, which show up later on and have huge delegate numbers that are winner-take-all. Sweep the majority of those in the spring and he’s won the nomination. And yet again we would’ve nominated a candidate who is weak where we have to win, and strong where we’ll probably lose.”

Steve basically tells me that the Southern Super Tuesday offering is a ruse for conservatives.Texas, Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas , Mississippi and Tennessee are planning a March 1st primary which forces delegates to be counted proportionally and not winner take all.  If conservatives don’t push their secretary of state in these southern states to push the primary date to March 15th to make it winner take all, it will make a conservative harder to get to the magic number and easier for the Establishment candidate to reach it.  I asked Deace if it’s possible for conservatives to have a game plan in liberal blue states in the primary.  Deace believes that demographics and the cost of media will make it nearly impossible for a conservative to win these states.

I’ve been told by my conservative consultant friend that there is no room for error for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)95%.  He must win Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada and after that momentum and money from a united conservative march to the nomination kicks in.   My friend Michael from Texas tells me this:

I think the election will be effectively over before March 15 notwithstanding winner take all. Cruz will have shined in nine debates by then. He will win Iowa and South Carolina. He is more Hispanic than Jeb is (!), so don’t count him out for Florida, either.

This really will be a Jeb vs Cruz battle on March 1. Guess which one won’t have to defend liberal stances on immigration and education?

If I’m wrong then we’re already lost. I’ll be with the Amish tuned completely out in November 2016.

Rand and Cruz Lead 2016 Travel

Click this link to check out the U.S. New & World Report chart that summarizes the travel of potential presidential candidates.

With his latest trip to New Hampshire on Wednesday, Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., is now knotted with Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, for conducting the most travel to early presidential nominating states over the past two years.

Each freshman GOP senator has made a total of 16 trips to Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, according to the U.S. News Presidential Tracker. It’s a leading signal that both Paul and Cruz will wage 2016 presidential bids.

 

Ted Cruz’s 2016 Plan: Court Hispanics, Millennials And Jews

Click here to read the full article from TalkingPointsMemo.com.

 

 

 

 

That’s according to a new report in National Review on Monday which said that the Texas senator, if he does decide to run for president as he’s rumored to be planning on, has a strategy for victory that does not center around winning independents. As an unnamed adviser put it to National Review, “winning independents has meant not winning.”

The Cruz circle cited John Kerry in 2004 and Mitt Romney in 2012, who respectively won Independents but lost anyway, as well as George W. Bush in 2000 where he won Independents but lost the popular vote.

Cruz’s team directed National Review to internal polling that showed 40 percent of Hispanics in Texas supporting the junior senator from Texas. The advisers also noted that on social media he’s the most discussed potential presidential candidate.

There’s data stacking against this strategy. According to the Pew Research Center’s Religion & Public Life Project, Jewish voters split 69-30 for President Barack Obama over Romney in 2012.

TPM has previously highlighted the shape of Cruz’s (unofficial) campaign team. Like TPM, the National Review report cited that Cruz’s campaign would likely be run by Jason Johnson, who helped Cruz win election in 2012, and Jeff Roe, a Republican consultant who runs Axiom Strategies and is reportedly planning on moving to Texas.

Ted Cruz Is Strong for 2016

Click here for the full article from Newsmax.

For 2016, Republicans are understandably worried about Hillary Clinton’s massive political machine and finding the right candidate to win the White House.

But Republicans are fortunate in the high caliber of the pool of candidates when it comes to a potential nominee. The national swelling ranks of successful governors and national leaders from various backgrounds present us with some great options.

Ted Cruz leads the best of the best. Cruz would not only make a great president but would also be the best and strongest option to defeat Hillary Clinton.

Hillary Clinton in 2016 is the most invincible political force since Hillary Clinton in 2008, as they said then and now say again. Undoubtedly, she is, and will be, a formidable candidate whose chameleon-style campaign will be attractive to many and dangerous to our country.

Ted Cruz has the ability to build and attract a coalition that will be vibrant beyond just expanding our grass-roots conservative turnout.

Cruz is a leader who is not afraid to stand on principle, speak out for what he believes and ruffle more than a few feathers when it comes time to standing up and fighting for the future of our Republic and everything that has made America the greatest country in the history of mankind.

He’s the candidate many in the mainstream media and Washington chattering class love to hate. He is demonized by many while revered by so many more throughout the heartland of America. He speaks his mind, stands his ground and is willing to fight the fight.

Cruz is grounded by a loving family, his Christian faith, his conservative principles and a moral compass that is all too often lacking in political life.
Cruz is a movement conservative.

When I hear him speak, I am often reminded of one of my first political heroes, Phil Crane. I will never forget when I first met Crane while still a college student when he told our group, “I would rather stand on my principles and lose, than lose my principles and win.”

Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com http://www.Newsmax.com/Politics/ted-cruz-2016-hillary/2014/12/30/id/615541/#ixzz3PhZeEfWK
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How Ted Cruz Can Win in 2016

Click here to read an article from October 2013 that will make liberals and conservatives really ponder the future.

Three years out, few bets in U.S. politics looked as sure as Hillary Clinton’s election to the presidency in 2016. Republicans had badly polluted their brand in the debt ceiling standoff. Their coalition seemed to have dwindled to an embittered band of older white Southern men.

But it’s never wise to predict the future by projecting forward from the present.

By spring 2014, the U.S. economy had been expanding for almost 60 months, the fifth-longest expansion in U.S. history, but also the weakest and most lop-sided. Through the expansion, poorer Americans failed to raise their consumption to pre-2007 levels, even as richer Americans bid stock prices to record highs.

Facing a bleak Christmas selling season, Wal-Mart began cutting orders to suppliers in the fall of 2013. The official retailer of Lower America cut its sales force by 10%. Target also reported strangely disappointing sales in 2013. Ultra-down-market retailer Dollar General reported better sales, but almost all of those results were driven by its decision to begin selling tobacco products in its stores.

All the oomph in the U.S. economy was delivered by the top 10% of households. And they were vulnerable to events in the financial market. When such an event struck in the early spring, the U.S. economy toppled back into recession. The tentative employment gains of the Obama years were abruptly wiped out, and congressional Democrats suddenly faced a very ugly scenario in the fall 2014 elections.

In a frantic effort to mobilize supporters, the Democrats abruptly veered toward more populist economics. Senator Elizabeth Warren began to demand not just fines on JP Morgan, but the actual breakup of too-big-to-fail financial institutions. Too little, too late: instead of the gains they’d been counting on in 2013, the Democrats lost 15 House seats and control of the Senate in November 2014.

That defeat galvanized something in progressive Democrats. In an effort to collect chits for 2016, Hillary Clinton had campaigned hard for fellow Democrats in 2014. Now Clinton was damaged— and the fundraising successes of her ally, Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe, suddenly became a target of criticism rather than a source of gratitude. “I don’t think we can auction our party’s future to Terry McAuliffe’s rich friends,” Senator Warren told MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow three days after the election defeat.

In the painful aftermath of 2014, many Democrats were ready to hear that the party had been defeated because President Obama had been too cautious in his policies and too remote in his style. As Obamacare stumbled from implementation difficulty to implementation difficulty, they remembered that the program they really wanted was Medicare for all. They seethed at the way Obama had submitted to Republican demands that budget balancing take precedence over job creation. And whatever happened to the administration’s promises on climate change?

History didn’t repeat itself, and Elizabeth Warren was no Barack Obama. Hillary Clinton finished off the Warren challenge in April. But Clinton had needed to pivot sharply left in order to secure her victory. Analysis of the 2014 vote showed that Democrats had been hurt by an abrupt drop in Latino turnout. Democrats decided they could afford no more delay on the immigration issue. President Obama listed immigration as agenda item number one in his 2015 State of the Union address, but Hillary Clinton went further. With her characteristic fierce energy, Clinton poured herself into the fight, chanting “Si, se puede” at rally after rally.

With the flaming wreck of Marco Rubio’s presidential hopes as a warning beacon, moderate favorite Governor Christie tried to triangulate the immigration issue. Ted Cruz determinedly took a position of all-out opposition.  In an interview on Univision, he chatted in Spanish with host Jorge Ramos, then turned to English to deliver a stark message: “This is America. We obey the law. People who can’t deal with that don’t belong here.”

The government shutdown and debt ceiling fight of 2013 may have looked disastrous from a national political perspective. But the dustups nonetheless earned Cruz the best fundraising list on the Republican side. While Rand Paul hesitated whether to play an “inside” game of reassuring Republican donors or an “outside” game of insurgency, Cruz’s fundraising allowed him to bypass the choice altogether, shoulder aside Rand Paul as the conservative favorite, and proceed straight to the main event: the battle against Gov. Chris Christie.

Cruz: GOP Will Not Win In 2016 If They Present “A Milquetoast Alternative”…

One of many reprints of a Daily Caller article.

Speaking to a small gathering of pro-life activists Thursday, Ted Cruz frankly predicted that Republicans will lose the White House in 2016 if they “present a milquetoast alternative” as their nominee.

The Texas Republican acknowledged that he is actively considering a run for the White House himself, seemingly positioning himself as the type of candidate that evangelicals and the conservative grassroots can get behind.

“I’m looking at the race very, very seriously,” Cruz told the activists. “And I will tell you — the encouragement, the support we are receiving from the grassroots, all across the country, has been breathtaking.”